This isn't where we wanted to end up, but that doesn't matter now. If we think we can just show up and win this game, we will be greatly disappointed. Notre Dame wants this. Badly. The last time the Fighting Irish beat the Buckeyes FDR was president of the United States. A gallon of gas cost 10 cents. Rudy would not be born for another 12 years. Since that Notre Dame victory in 1936, Ohio State has won 3 straight in the series, including a win in the Fiesta Bowl exactly 10 years ago. Notre Dame wants this badly.
This is not a meaningless game.
This is about defining a legacy. This class of seniors has the opportunity to win their 50th game. 50 wins in 4 years. No Power 5 team has ever done that before. This might not be a playoff game but it means a lot to a bunch of guys who have poured their hearts into this team. This isn't a championship game; it's a send-off to some special players. Make it a good one.
This is not an insult.
We can believe that we should have been in the final four. Or that we should have been selected by the Rose Bowl. But when it comes down to it, we didn't win when it mattered most. And the Fiesta Bowl vs Notre Dame is still a great game and a great opportunity and it's what we deserve. There are over 100 FBS teams that would gladly trade places with us. Play like we understand that and take nothing for granted. This is a big time bowl against a big time team. Notre Dame is two (or maybe just one) play away from being in the playoff themselves. Don't take them lightly.
This is not the end of a disappointing season.
This is the exclamation point on the legacy of a stellar senior class. This is a new beginning. Win number two of a new winning streak. The closing argument on an outstanding 2015 season. With a victory, we build momentum to carry into the off-season and into the 2016 season, where we will strive to be even better.
The Tigers are ranked #1 and hold the only perfect record in college football, but Vegas has the Sooners as 3.5-point favorites in the Orange Bowl. News also broke yesterday that Clemson sent home 3 players for breaking team rules, including stand-out receiver Deon Cain. But I think Deshaun Watson puts the team on his back in a gutsy performance to earn a title game bid. Clemson beats Oklahoma, 38 - 35.
2. Michigan State triumphs over Alabama
The biggest underdog of this year's playoff is Dantonio's squad, but that's exactly where the Spartans want to be. Michigan State has been at their best in the underdog role in recent years, and I expect no different from them on New Year's Eve. MSU wins, 27 - 23.
3. CFP semifinal winners score at least 30 points fewer than last year's Ducks and Bucks
They say that defense wins championships, but last year Ohio State and Oregon proved that a potent offense is good enough to get you to the championship game. The OSU and UO offenses combined for 101 points on New Year's Day of 2015, setting the bar high for this year's competitors. I think Oklahoma and Clemson could both rack up some points, but I expect the game between Michigan State and Alabama to be fairly low-scoring. My guess is the winner's combine for 70 or 71 points, at most.
4. Spartans hold Heisman winner Derrick Henry under 100 rushing yards
Henry has been difficult to stop this season, to say the least, but I think the Michigan State defense is up to the task. The MSU offense may actually make the difference here. If Connor Cook can keep the Spartans ahead of the Crimson Tide, It will go a long way in keeping Henry from really getting going. The running back has been most dangerous late in games, as Alabama goes into clock-killing mode and the opponent's defense is worn down. If Michigan State avoids this situation then I think they have a decent chance to shut down the 2015 Heisman winner.
5. Orange Bowl announcers don't mention last year's 40 - 6 Russell Athletic Bowl blowout
You might not know this, but Oklahoma and Clemson met in the 2014 postseason in the highly prestigious Russell Athletic Bowl. It did not go well for the Sooners. But, since no one else seems to remember this very important game, I'm sure the announcers for the Orange Bowl won't mention it.
Both Houston and Florida State have momentum heading into their showdown in the Peach Bowl. But the little guy has shown he has what it takes to slay the giant in previous New Year's Six and BCS bowls and this year figures to be no different. The Cougars will have their hands full trying to contain Dalvin Cook, but their dynamic offense should keep it close. Tom Herman comes up with his biggest win since departing Ohio State, as Houston wins 29 - 24.
2. On the first day of '16 OK State will surely see a victory over coach Freeze
We don't know yet if Ole Miss DL Robert Nkemdiche will play in the Sugar Bowl after his recent transgressions. But at a minimum, the Rebels will have the distraction of dealing with questions regarding their star defensive player heading into their match-up with Oklahoma State. I like the Cowboys in this one either way, as Ole Miss has been inconsistent since their early season win over Alabama, just like last year. I think we see a repeat of their bowl performance from last season as well, though maybe not quite as lopsided. Oklahoma State cruises to a 38 - 24 victory.
3. Do you see what I see? Fifteen, fifteen, gashing Notre Dame; With another two hundred in a game; With another two hundred in a game
A lot of people point to OSU's 12th ranked rushing attack vs Notre Dame's 65th ranked rushing defense as a mismatch in this year's Fiesta Bowl. I am one of those people. Zeke had a mere 33 yards in their pivotal loss to Michigan State, but followed it up with a big 214 yard day against the Wolverines in the Buckeyes' regular season finale. I think #15 finishes off his college career with another masterful performance, as he tallies 200+ yards and carries Ohio State to a 35 - 23 win over the Irish in the desert.
4. I'm dreaming of a Hawkeye bowl win, just like the ones I used to know; Where the linemen clash and the running backs dash, to score long touchdowns against their foe
It's the "Granddaddy of Them All" and Iowa is returning for just the sixth time in program history and the first time in 25 years. Stanford, on the other hand, has reached the Rose Bowl fifteen times previously, this being their third visit in the past four years. I don't know if the novelty has worn off for the Cardinal but I think the excitement surrounding this game for the Hawkeyes will give them a definite edge. Both teams are tough, gritty football squads but I like Iowa in this one. They put up a very good fight against Michigan State in the Big Ten championship and I think they will surprise people again with a close win on New Year's day. 20 - 14, Hawkeyes.
5. You better watch out, you better not cry; You better not pout, I'm telling you why; Florida's gonna score a touchdown
The Gators' offense has been abysmal this year, coming in at 109th nationally in total offense. Michigan, meanwhile, is ranked 4th in total defense. But maybe, Florida will find a way into the end zone in the Citrus bowl. It won't be enough to beat the Wolverines, though, as the Gators fall 17 - 10.
1. Favorites all win in SEC, ACC, Pac 12 championship games
Alabama and Clemson locked up spots in the top 4 with wins in their respective conference title games, while Stanford claimed a Pac 12 title and Rose Bowl berth with their victory over USC. It didn't leave any room for Ohio State, or anyone else for that matter, to sneak into the playoffs. You can draw conclusions from the rankings as to whether the Buckeyes had a real shot to make it in, even if there was chaos, but you'd be speculating either way.
2. Temple upsets Houston
I was right that Temple would hold Houston to just 24 points, but the Owls' offense couldn't muster enough firepower to turn it into a victory. Cougars won 24 - 13, thereby earning an AAC title and the opportunity to play Florida State in the Peach Bowl.
3. I will be sad because there is no Buckeye football
:'(
4. Iowa topples MSU, wins Big Ten
It was indeed a close, defensive struggle, and even lower scoring than I anticipated. But in the end, the Hawkeyes couldn't stop Michigan State when it mattered most, as the Spartans drove down the field to score the game-winning touchdown with seconds left on the clock. As a result, MSU heads to the playoffs while Iowa gets a trip to the Rose Bowl.
5. Everybody agrees with the CFP committee's top 4
Believe it or not, pretty much everyone did agree with the committee's top 4. And anyone who doesn't agree suffers from an a obvious bias. There are plenty who might argue the order or whether 4 is the right number (it's not), but a lack of chaos in week 14 made it easy for the committee, as there is indeed a clear-cut top 4.
Week 14 record: 3 - 2
Overall record: 21.5 - 48.5
Other headlines from week 14:
Heisman finalists announced
It's down to just three players for the most prestigious individual award in college football. The players heading to New York are: Stanford running back Christian McCaffrey, Alabama running back Derrick Henry, and Clemson quarterback Deshaun Watson. McCaffrey is a do-it-all player with a ridiculous 3,496 all-purpose yards. Henry is your typical workhorse back and is on the verge of 2,000 rushing yards. Watson is a dangerous dual-threat QB who has accounted for more than 40 touchdowns and over 4,000 yards of offense while leading the Tigers to a perfect 13 - 0 season. My money is on McCaffrey to come away with the hardware.
Other awards doled out
Speaking of hardware, here's a nice tracker on ESPN that shows which players have taken home the individual awards for different categories. It's worth noting that conference awards are left off of here. So I want to point out that even though Ezekiel Elliott didn't get an invite to New York for the Heisman trophy ceremony, he was given the Chicago Tribune Silver Football as the Big Ten's best player in 2015.
Navy searches for first 10 win season since 2009
The Midshipmen have had a special year, led by senior quarterback Keenan Reynolds. While most teams prepare for their bowl game (if they were fortunate enough to earn a bowl bid), Navy and Army get set to square off in their annual end-of-year rivalry game. They boast mirror records of 9 - 2 and 2 - 9, but you can bet that neither team will be taking this game lightly.
The final rankings are out, and in general there isn't a lot to disagree with. My top 4 looks the same, except I have Michigan State and Alabama reversed. I also have Ohio State, Iowa, and Stanford in a slightly different order in the 5-7 spots. Ohio State and Iowa have very similar resumes, with each suffering a 3-point loss to Michigan State. However, given the circumstances of the Buckeye's loss (bad weather, star running back hospitalized days before the game), I give them a slight edge over the Hawkeyes. And I think that 1-loss non-champs in a strong-looking Big Ten should be ahead of a 2-loss Stanford, despite the Cardinal's beefier resume and Pac 12 title. Remember - one of Stanford's two losses came at the hands of Northwestern, a team that Iowa beat by 30 points. Speaking of which, I think the Wildcats should be ranked higher, and so should Houston. On the flip side, I think Ole Miss is over-ranked and I punished Baylor and Florida more significantly for ugly losses.
The playoff field:
1. Clemson (13-0), ACC
The Tigers danced their way into the playoffs as the only remaining undefeated team. They'll hope to fare better than Florida State did last year, the lone unbeaten in the first iteration of the College Football Playoff. The Seminoles were crushed 59 - 20 by Oregon in the Rose Bowl. This year, Clemson will take on Oklahoma in the Orange bowl to vie for a spot in the title game.
2. Michigan State (12-1), B1G ⇧3
The B1G champ moved up into the top 4 with a victory over Iowa in Indy. I have them above Alabama, and to me it's not even that close. The Spartans own wins over #5 Iowa (12 - 1), #7 Ohio State (11 - 1), and #14 Michigan (9 - 3). Alabama's best wins are vs #19 Florida (10 - 3) and #20 LSU (8 - 3). The committee has made it painfully clear that it's not about who you lose to, but who you beat. And so Michigan State's resume makes them look like the best 1-loss team without a doubt.
3. Alabama (12-1), SEC ⇩1
They took care of business against Florida in the SEC championship game, and punched their ticket to the playoffs for the second straight year as a result. They'll face off against a Big Ten opponent in the semi-final round once again, but will be hoping for a different result this time around.
4. Oklahoma (11-1), Big 12
The Sooners had already wrapped up their playoff spot with a win over Oklahoma State and an outright conference title. The Big 12 was left out last year - can Oklahoma prove they belong despite the lack of a league championship game?
1. Favorites all win in SEC, ACC, Pac 12 championship games
My predictions of chaos didn't work out so well last week so I'm going the opposite direction in week 14. Everybody is talking about what happens in all these crazy scenarios, but I think the most probable outcome is no chaos at all. Alabama crushes Florida, 38 - 4 (yes, two safeties), Clemson survives UNC, 35 - 27, and Stanford handles USC, 38 - 28.
2. Temple upsets Houston
Both of these teams suffered stunning upset losses this season, with the Owls falling to USF and Houston getting beaten by UConn. They meet on Saturday with an AAC title and a New Year's Six bowl bid on the line. Houston's been able to move the ball on almost anyone this year, but I like Temple's defense in this one. Owls win 28 - 24.
3. I will be sad because there is no Buckeye football
:'(
4. Iowa topples MSU, wins Big Ten
If the Spartans' offense dictates the tempo of this game, the Hawkeyes could be in trouble. But Iowa has made a habit of forcing teams play their style this season. They haven't faced a quarterback even close to Connor Cook's level, so it will be a big challenge for Iowa's defense. I think it stays close all game but the Hawkeye defense comes up with a big stop late in the game to seal the deal. Iowa stays perfect and advances to the playoff with a 30 - 27 victory.
5. Everybody agrees with the CFP committee's top 4
Because pretty much everyone has been on the same page so far, right?
In our culture, we should be used to it by now. The hero finds himself in a desperate situation. The odds are stacked against him. All hope is lost. But we know better.
We know that somehow, someway it will all work out in the end. We see it before it even happens. Out of nowhere, the day is saved. Deus ex machina. The god from the machine. We would complain about the contrived plot device, but we're too busy celebrating.
In ancient Greek culture, they literally lowered a god onto the stage. Will the football gods grace the field this Saturday? They've interfered more than once already this season. They dangled a victory in front of Michigan and then snatched it away. We laughed at the time but now we wish that the gods just let Blake O'Neill punt the dang ball. They hated Nebraska. Except for that one time. They mercilessly toyed with the Seminoles. They must have felt sorry for the 'Canes, because they gave them a gift. They almost ruined Alabama's season and then indirectly saved it.
Are the football gods to blame for a windy rainstorm that happened to roll into Columbus, Ohio on November 21st?
Maybe it's all part of the script.
One of the main reasons last year's championship run was so incredible was because of the improbability of the whole thing: An early-season loss. Having to go to our 2nd, and then later, 3rd string quarterback. Being heavy underdogs in every big game. And then came along Cardale Jones. Zeke started running over everyone and everything. The Silver Bullets became bulletproof. Deus ex machina.
Everybody expected us to come in and easily beat everyone this year. How boring would that have been? The football gods just wanted to make sure it was a little more exciting. They just wanted to add a little drama.
They're just sticking to the script. It's called entertainment value.
I don't know if we'll make the playoffs. We might not see the deus ex machina this weekend. But if we do, and the football gods lift us up into the top 4, I'm betting on us to win it all again.
It was close, but Deshaun Watson and the Tigers' offense proved to be too much for the Gamecocks, as they survived 37 - 32. Clemson faces North Carolina in the ACC title game next, with a playoff spot on the line. If the Tigers win, they are in. A more interesting scenario will be encountered if North Carolina wins. Would a one-loss Tar Heels team jump six spots to reach the top 4 if they knock off top-ranked Clemson? Or would the committee go with a one-loss Ohio State or two-loss Stanford (assuming the Cardinal win the Pac 12)?
2. Auburn shocks Alabama
Auburn kept it close for a while, but eventually the Tide rode Derrick Henry to another Alabama victory, 29 - 13. If they can make it past the reeling Gators in the SEC title game, they'll clinch a playoff spot.
3. Zeke bounces back with 200+ yards vs TTUN
It may have been a week too late, but #15 got the necessary carries and proved he can run against the best. Elliott carried the ball 30 times for 214 yards as the Buckeyes rolled to a 42 - 13 win. But with Michigan State handling Penn State, the Spartans clinched the B1G East title and removed OSU's shot at a repeat conference championship. Don't count out the Bucks entirely, though. FiveThirtyEight gives Ohio State a 22% chance to make the playoffs, despite not playing this weekend.
4. Nebraska thwarts Iowa's playoff hopes
Another game that was close, but eventually went the way of the favorite. The Hawkeyes kept their B1G title and playoff hopes alive with a 28 - 20 win over the Cornhuskers, to record their first 12-win season in school history. They head to Indy next week to face their toughest challenge of the year, squaring off against the Spartans in what is essentially a play-in game for a top four spot.
5. I use the letter M on Saturday
I tried, but was unsuccessful. Too many words contain that vile 13th letter. Perhaps a change to the alphabet is in order? I suggest we replace 'M' with 'B' (for Buckeyes) in all words. It bakes sense to be!
Week 13 record: 2 - 3
Overall record: 18.5 - 46.5
Other headlines from week 13:
Baylor, Notre Dame go down while Oklahoma solidifies position in top 4
We're starting to achieve clarity in the big dance which is the college football playoff race. There are probably only 8 teams left with a realistic shot at competing for a national championship. In just a few days, the list of contenders will be narrowed down to 4. But will it be clear-cut or will there be controversy, like last year?
MSU center Jack Allen scores TD, Dantonio smiles
With a big lead, late in the game, the Spartans decided to try and get their senior center more involved in the action as he lined up at tailback for 1st and goal. As rare as big guy touchdowns are, the score led to what might be even rarer: a Mark Dantonio smile (not shown in the below video as the film instantly vaporized the moment after it captured the MSU coach's mythical grin).
For the first time this season, the committee and I have the same four teams atop the rankings, albeit in a different order. I'm still giving Iowa more credit for going undefeated, but otherwise my top six looks a lot like theirs. The most notable difference after that is North Carolina's position. I've given the Tar Heels a bigger benefit of the doubt at #7, while the committee has them at 10th, likely the result of a weak resume which included two FCS opponents and an ugly week 1 loss to 3 - 9 South Carolina. A lot of speculation has been made this week about what would happen in the event of possible upsets in conference championships. Ohio State and Stanford (if they win) both appear in good position in the rankings (mine and the CFP committee's) should Alabama or Clemson go down. But UNC is in a bit of a precarious spot even if they beat Clemson, at least in the eyes of Jeff Long, et al. With this being only the second year of the playoffs, there is still a lot of uncertainty about how this will play out, if there is indeed chaos. Meanwhile, Oklahoma looks like a lock for a playoff spot, as does the winner between Iowa and Michigan State.
The playoff field (for now):
1. Clemson (12-0), ACC
The victory over South Carolina wasn't pretty, but it was good enough. Just one more win, against North Carolina in the ACC Championship, and the Tigers are in the playoffs with a likely #1 seed.
2. Iowa (12-0), B1G
Like the Tigers, the Hawkeyes finished off a perfect regular season and are one more victory away from capturing a conference title and playoff berth. Win and they're in, lose and Michigan State takes their place in the final four.
3. Alabama (11-1), SEC
The Crimson Tide took care of Auburn in the Iron Bowl in order to advance to the SEC championship and maintain their spot at #3 on my list. Unless Florida gets their offensive issues straightened out in the next week, Alabama will cruise to a victory and get another shot at the playoffs.
4. Oklahoma (11-1), Big 12 ⇧1
Although they sit at #4 in my rankings, after taking Notre Dame's place, the Sooners may be the safest bet to reach the playoffs at this point. They already wrapped up a Big 12 title with their dominating win over Oklahoma State and I don't foresee any scenario that would cause them to drop out of the top four.
The rest:
Rank
Team
Record
Conf
Trend
5
Michigan State
11-1
B1G
⇧1
6
Ohio State
11-1
B1G
⇧2
7
North Carolina
11-1
ACC
⇧4
8
Stanford
10-2
Pac 12
⇧5
9
Florida State
10-2
ACC
⇧5
10
Notre Dame
10-2
Indep
⇩6
11
Northwestern
10-2
B1G
⇧4
12
Baylor
9-2
Big 12
⇩5
13
Oklahoma State
10-2
Big 12
⇩4
14
TCU
10-2
Big 12
⇧3
15
Houston
11-1
AAC
⇧5
16
Florida
10-2
SEC
⇩6
17
Michigan
9-3
B1G
⇩5
18
Oregon
9-3
Pac 12
⇧3
19
Ole Miss
9-3
SEC
⇧3
20
Temple
10-2
AAC
⇧4
21
Navy
9-2
AAC
⇩5
22
Utah
9-3
Pac 12
New
23
LSU
8-3
SEC
New
24
Wisconsin
9-3
B1G
New
25
USC
8-4
Pac 12
New
Dropped from rankings: Washington State 19, UCLA 22, Toledo 23, Mississippi State 25
We can sit around and feel sorry for ourselves or we can go up to Ann Arbor and beat the pants off TTUN.
I choose the latter. The Game is bigger than the rest of the season. What happens in the The Game defines our legacy as Buckeyes. We don't have time to feel bad about losing nor do we have the need for it. It's pointless and unproductive. Learn from our mistakes and move on. It's time for war. Beat Michigan.
We can give up on the season or we can do everything in our power to save it.
I choose the latter. We can only control what we can control, so let's make sure we make our efforts count. The season isn't over. We might not make the Big Ten championship or the playoffs, but that doesn't matter right now. All that matters is what's right in front of us. It's time for war. Beat Michigan.
We can go out with a sizzle or we can go out with a bang.
I choose the latter. Let's make sure our seniors, the most successful class of Buckeye football players in Ohio State history, go out on a high note with a perfect record against TTUN. They've earned it. You know they will be playing their hearts out; everyone else better be too. It's time for war. Beat Michigan.
We can limp in, dejected and unfocused with seemingly nothing to play for. We can give the critics more ammunition. "We knew it," they said after last week. "Ohio State is overrated. They're weak." We can prove them right. We can let the season slip away and end in more disappointment, amid celebrations of Jim Harbaugh throughout TSUN, as they proclaim TTUN's resurgence to the forefront of college football.
Or... we can go up to Ann Arbor and beat them in their house.
I choose the latter. It's time for war. Beat Michigan.
Why not? Well, there is the Gamecocks' loss to Citadel last week. But it's rivalry week so I'm going big and getting bolder than ever. South Carolina takes down the Tigers, 28 - 24.
2. Auburn shocks Alabama
The Iron Bowl has been among the wildest rivalry games in recent years. The Tigers have looked bad this year but you know they're going to give everything they've got this weekend. Auburn pulls off the upset, 34 - 31.
3. Zeke bounces back with 200+ yards vs TTUN
Ohio State's star running back had his worst game of the year in last week's loss, and will need to be much more involved in the offense if the Buckeyes want to avoid dropping two straight. I think we see a heavy dose of #15 as OSU gets back on track in Ann Arbor with a 31 - 27 victory.
4. Nebraska thwarts Iowa's playoff hopes
The Cornhuskers already spoiled Michigan State's perfect season, and they'll try to do it again with the Hawkeyes coming to town. Iowa has proved me wrong multiple times this year, but I think they finally have their letdown, one win short of a perfect regular season. Nebraska wins it on a hail mary, 35 - 33.
5. I use the letter M on Saturday
I will try my best to avoid it, but I think at some point it will slip out.
Can we just pretend week 12 didn't happen? No? Well, here's how I did on my bold predictions, then:
1. Oklahoma State implodes against Baylor inmultiple-TDloss
I'm giving myself half credit for this one, as I think you could certainly call their performance against the Bears an implosion. It was only a last-minute TD by the cowboys that kept this one from being 100% true, as they lost 45 - 35 (which was also pretty close to my 48 - 34 prediction). Oklahoma State is technically still alive in the playoff hunt after the loss, but both teams would likely need outside help to have a realistic shot at the top 4. Funny enough, Oklahoma State will be rooting against Baylor in their next two games (to eliminate the Bears' head-to-head tiebreaker over the Cowboys) while Baylor will be rooting for Oklahoma State in their finale against Oklahoma (to eliminate the Sooners' tiebreaker over the Bears).
2. Virginia Tech spoils North Carolina's special season in Beamer's final home game
They fought valiantly, but in the end it wasn't enough for the Hokies, who lost in overtime to the talented Tar Heels. I would like to point out that I did nail the score prediction of 30 - 27, but had the winner and loser reversed (obviously). With the win, North Carolina stays in the hunt for an ACC title (and possibly more?), while Virginia Tech keeps searching for bowl eligibility.
3. Ohio State drops 40+ on Sparty
So, obviously this didn't happen. In fact, it was quite the opposite, as the Buckeyes had their worst offensive outing since Meyer arrived in Columbus. A lot of people have blamed bad play-calling for the loss (and certainly that was a big part of it), but in reality there were a lot of factors that contributed. Everything from poor execution to questionable decision-making to the nasty weather played a part in this perfect storm that ended a perfect season. Now, regardless of exactly where the problem lies, it's clear that there are issues on the offensive side of the ball for Ohio State. And it's obvious that there is no lack of talent, so it boils down to a coaching issue one way or another. Now, I'm not in the camp that the Buckeyes need to fire or demote anyone, necessarily, but some change is definitely imminent if OSU wants to stay competitive. I see a lot of similarities to the 2013 season, actually. The Buckeyes went 12-0 in the regular season despite some glaring problems on defense. After finishing the season with losses to Michigan State and Clemson, a lot of people were calling for co-defensive coordinator Luke Fickell's job. But, instead of firing a key member from the Tressel era coaching staff (remember some of the defenses the Buckeyes had under the Senator?), Meyer brought in Chris Ash to revamp the Silver Bullets. 2014 saw changes to the defensive schemes and overall tackling techniques and positive results were seen almost immediately. The rest is history, so they say. I expect that some change will come out of the offensive struggles that we've seen all year. Whether that means letting some one go, bringing someone new in, changing the playbook, or all of the above is yet to be seen. But I don't think anyone really knows where the issues lie other than Meyer and a select few on his coaching staff. For now, the Buckeyes turn their focus to The Game, as they try to move past the 17 - 14 loss to the Spartans. Nothing will help more than a win over their arch-rivals.
4. Penn State ends Michigan's B1G hopes
The Nittany Lions still lack a signature win after coming up short against another ranked opponent, losing 28 - 16 to Michigan. The Wolverines will join Ohio State fans in rooting for Penn State to get that elusive statement win next week against the Spartans, who holds the tiebreaker over both Michigan and Ohio State in the B1G East race. Of course, it only matters for the winner of The Game, as the loser will be out of Big Ten title contention either way.
5. An SEC team falls in non-league play
Ironically, the one bold prediction I didn't think I had a realistic shot at was the only one I got 100% right. South Carolina gifted me this one with their 23 - 22 loss to The Citadel. It's also worth mentioning that Florida and Georgia both needed overtime to beat their opponents, Florida Atlantic and Georgia Southern, respectively. The only possible explanation for this is... SEC! SEC! SEC!
Just like all the experts predicted back in September, the lone unbeatens remaining as we approach the end of the regular season are the Iowa Hawkeyes and Clemson Tigers. Really, though, who saw that coming? Clemson was at least a popular preseason pick to win the ACC but Iowa wasn't on anyone's radar. Now both these teams are just a couple wins away from a shot to play for a national championship. If that happens, there will be quite the competition between one-loss teams for the last two playoff spots.
Lane Kiffin doesn't like it when you touch him there
A tap on the behind might be the universal football gesture for "Outstanding job! That was a mighty fine play." But Alabama's offensive coordinator doesn't care and will not stand for this inappropriate touching.
I still have Iowa higher than the committee does in their top 25, and they opted for Oklahoma instead of Notre Dame for a playoff spot, but otherwise my top 6 looks pretty similar to theirs. I still think they are short-changing North Carolina, at only 14 in their rankings (vs 11 in mine). Otherwise, there aren't a lot of major differences between my list and theirs.
The playoff field (for now):
1. Clemson (11-0), ACC
It was business as usual for the Tigers, who dispatched Wake Forest with ease to move to 11-0 and hold steady at number one in my rankings.
2. Iowa (11-0), B1G ⇧1
The Hawkeyes slide up to the second spot with the Buckeyes losing to Michigan State. This is turning into a magical season for Ferentz's crew, but can they finish strong and reach the playoffs?
3. Alabama (10-1), SEC ⇧2
Ohio State and Oklahoma State going down also paves the way for the Crimson Tide to move into the top 4, now firmly in control of their playoff destiny, if they weren't already.
4. Notre Dame (10-1), Big 12 ⇧2
The Irish move up as well, but Oklahoma is nipping at their heels. They'll be hoping for an Oklahoma State victory over the Sooners next week, while folks all over the state of Oklahoma will be rooting for Stanford to beat Notre Dame.
The grind is over. It's time to let loose because there's no one left on our schedule who won't challenge us and fight us to the very end. Same goes for our TBD schedule, which could be an even more daunting task than what lies directly ahead. Forget about last year's epic three game gauntlet. The true test begins now.
The real battle for the East begins now.
Three teams left. In two weeks, one will emerge victorious and head to Indy with dreams of going even further. It might come down to who wants it more, who is hungrier. Make sure that team is us. The real battle for the East begins now.
Beat TSUN: Part 2 begins now.
Part 1 was a solid, but uninspiring success. But who can blame us for not caring about a directional school? It was the appetizer in a three-course meal. Now we're hungrier than ever. Beat TSUN: Part 2 begins now.
The Chase: Part 2 begins now.
Last year was all about embracing the underdog role. We surprised folks around the country week after week. This time around, there's no surprising anyone. We aren't the underdog. But that doesn't mean we will lose our edge in big games. We are still chasing. We're chasing back-to-back titles. The Chase: Part 2 begins now.
11-0 begins now. 24 straight wins begins now. 31 consecutive regular-season Big Ten wins begins now.
The final home game for our seniors begins now. Make it a good one.
I was on fire last week. Can I keep it going in week 12?
1. Oklahoma State implodes against Baylor in multiple-TD loss
Playoff hopes are still alive for both these teams, though the path is clearer for the Cowboys : win and they're in. But I expect an angry Baylor team to show up in Stillwater, as the Bears look to become a serious roadblock for Oklahoma State. Baylor makes things interesting in the Big 12 race with a 48 - 34 thumping of the Cowboys, who seem destined for a collapse.
2. Virginia Tech spoils North Carolina's special season in Beamer's final home game
The Hokies are 5 - 5, but have been competitive against all their opponents this year, even in their losses. They've picked up steam after beating Boston College and Georgia Tech but still look to get bowl eligible. With a coaching legend on the sideline for his final game in Blacksburg, these players will be giving it their all to send Frank out on a high note. The Tarheels have been playing lights-out since their week 1 loss but I think they fall victim to the trap game on Saturday. Hokies prevail, 30 - 27.
3. Ohio State drops 40+ on Sparty
Since the season opener, the Buckeyes have only exceeded 40 points twice, in wins against Maryland and Rutgers. Michigan State is undeniably the best team OSU will have faced so far, but the Spartan defense isn't quite as stingy as it has been the last two years. Still, they give up only 22 points per game on average and Ohio State has been inconsistent at times moving the ball. But I think this is where it all comes together for OSU's offense, as the Buckeyes make a statement in a 42 - 23 win.
4. Penn State ends Michigan's B1G hopes
The Wolverines were gashed on the ground by Indiana last week, and will have to get back to their earlier season form on defense to survive the Nittany Lions this weekend. Penn State is by no means an offensive juggernaut, but they always play considerably better at home. They've yet to lose one in Beaver Stadium in 2015 and I don't think they do this week. Nittany Lions knock off Michigan, 27 - 24.
5. An SEC team falls in non-league play
As usual, the rest of the country plays cupcakes while college footballs premier conference takes on some real competition. The SEC's non-conference gauntlet this week includes: Florida Atlantic, The Citadel, Idaho, Charleston Southern, Georgia Southern, and Charlotte. It's a tough slate, but the SEC is still expected to sweep the field, because S-E-C!, S-E-C!, S-E-C! However, I'm calling for a loss in there, despite how great the conference is. I just can't imagine the entire league making it through the weekend unscathed with that set of match-ups. And don't take my word for it, just listen to Alabama's Nick Saban talk up his FCS opponent.
It was the best week of the season so far for my bold predictions:
1. Oregon gives Stanford taste of their own medicine with upset win over Cardinal
This may be my best bold prediction of the year to date, as not too many people were expecting the Ducks to compete, let alone win this game. But win they did, with a score of 38 - 36, very close to my 37 - 34 prediction. With Stanford and Utah both losing their second games of the season, it now looks like a very real possibility that the Pac 12 will be excluded from this year's playoffs.
2. Oklahoma gets revenge on Baylor with double-digit win
Another prediction that I nailed, as the Bears struggled to move the ball consistently against a decent defense, and eventually fell to the Sooners, 44 - 34. There is still a lot of football to be played in the Big 12, but Oklahoma looks like they might be the top contender in that league. Their season finale showdown with Oklahoma State certainly looks like it could be a huge game, with serious playoff implications.
3. Slobs pave way for 300+ rushing yards vs Illinois
The Buckeyes were close, with 283 yards on the ground, but the Illini defense played much better than I expected overall and busted this prediction as a result. It's clear that the improved numbers for the Illinois defense show real progress on that side of the ball. But on the other side, Ohio State dominated on defense once again, allowing only 3 points and keeping the Illini from ever really threatening to end the Buckeyes' win streak. That said, OSU will have to be much better on offense going forward, as the competition gets drastically tougher from here on out, starting with Michigan State next week. For now, the Buckeyes will enjoy the 28 - 3 victory.
4. Iowa falls to Minnesota
The Gophers came up just short once again in their third straight week facing a ranked opponent. The Hawkeyes now need just one more win to clinch their division and a berth in the B1G championship. But they're likely eyeing much more than that, as they appear on the cusp of a top-4 ranking after a 40 - 35 win over Minnesota.
5. Missouri scores points
The Tigers not only scored points, but they exceeded their season scoring average with an offensive explosion of 20 points. And to top it off, it was even enough to beat BYU, who only managed 16 points. Perhaps the turmoil at Mizzou brought the football team closer together, rather than divide them as I thought it might. Or maybe BYU just isn't that good.
It was another wild finish for the Wolverines, but this time they managed to come out with the win despite being down by 7 with five seconds to play. They scored at the last possible moment, to send it to overtime and eventually came out on top. Perhaps the most surprising part of the game was not that the Hoosiers took Michigan to the brink, but how they did it. They ran on the Wolverines' vaunted rushing defense seemingly at will, especially late in the game. Indiana racked up 307 yards on the ground - nearly four times the average allowed by Michigan. It wasn't until Indiana finally attempted a pass in the second OT period, after 21 straight rushes, that the Hoosiers were stopped.
Harvard marching band pays tribute
A lot of university marching bands have done some pretty amazing stuff on the football field. Why can't the Ivy League-ers get in on the action too? Harvard did just that this weekend with this interesting formation. Can you read what they spelled?
That's right, they spelled "PENN"! They were of course honoring their opponent, University of Pennsylvania. That is what you guessed, right?
Ref tells Central Michigan band, cheerleaders to shut up
Isn't making noise kind of the point of home-field advantage? This ref doesn't think so and he was having none of it.
I decided that I will determine my rankings before the committee releases their top 25, but I will wait until afterwards to post them. That way, I can outline any major differences between my list and theirs. For example, this week, there is still the major difference of my top 4 including only the undefeated Power 5 teams (all of them now, with Baylor losing) and the committee having once-beaten Alabama and Notre Dame in theirs. I just think that a perfect resume trumps a one-loss record, even if that team has played a slightly tougher schedule. Some other big differences are that I have Houston and North Carolina much higher in my top 25, which again, shows that I am looking more favorably at the records and not weighing SoS quite as much. There are also some discrepancies in the 20-25 range, but really, there are a lot of choices for who could fill those spots and it doesn't matter that much at this point. For me, I see the lack of an elite team in the Pac 12 (with Utah and Stanford each taking losses this weekend) as evidence that it's one of the deeper leagues this year. They may not get a team in the playoffs, but they have some competitive 3-loss teams and that's why they round out the last 4 spots in my week 12 rankings.
The playoff field (for now):
1. Clemson (10-0), ACC
The Tigers had some trouble putting away Syracuse, but still have the strongest resume of any team, so they keep the top spot.
2. Ohio State (10-0), B1G ⇧1
The Buckeyes looked a little sluggish on offense against Illinois but had a dominating defensive effort. The performance on its own was not enough to justify a move up, but Oklahoma State's near loss to Iowa State was reason for the Cowboys to move down.
3. Iowa (10-0), B1G ⇧1
The Hawkeyes survived a good Minnesota team, and like Ohio State, move up because of Oklahoma State's struggles.
4. Oklahoma State (10-0), Big 12 ⇩2
The Cowboys needed a furious rally to beat the Cyclones, and that is why they dropped to number 4 in my rankings. They will have chances to climb, though, with games against Baylor and Oklahoma up next. But really, there is not much difference (in my mind) between any of my top 4 teams at this point.
Don't look ahead. We all know what's coming. But we can't look ahead. The moment after we look ahead, we will find ourselves looking back, wondering what went wrong. We can't look ahead.
Don't give back the Illibuck.
It's the first trophy we play for this year. Make sure it's not the last. Keep him in Columbus, where he belongs.
Don't sleep on the Illini.
They've caught us sleeping before and spoiled our quest for perfection. They would love to do it again and they are more than capable. Be ready and fight hard from the beginning. We can't be caught sleeping. Our honor defend.
Don't believe the hype.
Don't believe the hype about us. We are only as good as how well we play. All the previous wins and the accolades and our top 4 ranking don't matter on the football field. The only thing that matters is that we give everything we've got for our brothers. We will fight to the end.
Don't lose focus.
Remember why we play - and don't forget: this is a game. But it does matter. Because we play to remind ourselves that there is always something greater than ourselves. While we do battle on the football field, remember that there are those fighting on actual battlefields. Remember that there are people losing their lives and all that's at stake for us is the possibility of losing a game. That doesn't mean it doesn't matter. It might matter more because of that, actually. Fight hard because we're lucky and can enjoy life and freedom. Don't waste it. Fight hard for France. Fight hard for our country. For Ohio.
1. Oregon gives Stanford taste of their own medicine with upset win over Cardinal
Stanford has only beaten the Ducks three times since 2001, but each of those times Oregon entered the game favored and with possible championship aspirations, only to have their hopes ruined by a scrappy Cardinal team. This year, it's Oregon with the opportunity to play spoiler, as Stanford could be looking at a spot in the top 4 if they win out. The Ducks have steadily gotten better since their OT loss to Washington State, and while they haven't been the same team since Mariota left for the NFL, I think they find a way to win this game. Oregon stuns Stanford at home, 37 - 34.
2. Oklahoma gets revenge on Baylor with double-digit win
The Bears have embarrassed the Sooners a couple years in a row now, winning by a combined score of 89 - 26 over those two games. Vegas is predicting a close game in favor of Art Briles' team this year, and Baylor may indeed be playing with a chip on their shoulder after feeling disrespected by the CFP committee in consecutive weeks. But the Bears haven't faced a real challenge yet this season, while Oklahoma is much more battle-tested and, simply put, just looks like the better team to me. Baylor's offense stalls against the first quality defense they face, as Sooners win 38 - 28.
3. Slobs pave way for 300+ rushing yards vs Illinois
Ohio State has been running all over the Fighting Ilini since Meyer arrived in Columbus; the Buckeyes totaled 1067 yards on the ground in those three "rivalry" wins. But Illinois' run defense is decidedly better this year (allowing 139 yards per game vs 239 ypg in 2014, 238 ypg in 2013, and 193 ypg in 2012), and OSU's rushing attack is actually under-performing a bit compared to the previous 3 years as well (240 ypg vs 264 ypg in 2014, 308 ypg in 2013, and 242 ypg in 2012). But with Barrett back under center and the slobs starting to find their groove, I expect Ohio State to put up some big numbers on the ground. Zeke extends his streak of 100-yard games as the Buckeyes steamroll the Illini, 49 - 17.
4. Iowa falls to Minnesota
I'm picking on the Hawkeyes again this week. I actually really like Iowa - they play good, sound football and have beaten some decent teams. I just think the pressure of going undefeated will be too much for them to handle, and sooner or later they will lose. The Gophers could present an interesting challenge this week, as their defense should keep it close. I think Minnesota pulls off the upset, 24 - 20.
5. Missouri scores points
The Tigers' offense has been among the worst in the country this year, averaging a paltry 14.7 points per game, good for 127th (out of 128) among FBS teams. And that's even with early-season games against Southeast Missouri State, Arkansas State, and UConn. Considering the unrest in Columbia following the university president's resignation amid racial tensions, and the possible division even within the football team, I think we'll be lucky to see Missouri field anything resembling a competitive football team in their game against BYU this weekend. Throw in the fact that head coach Gary Pinkel just announced his retirement (due to health concerns) and you've got a recipe for an unfocused group of kids. BYU is no world-beater on defense, but they are in the top 40 in scoring defense nationally, so I think a shutout is a definite possibility. I'm going out on a limb, though, and saying that the Tigers put together at least one decent drive and score some points. Cougars still win, 20 - 3.
Clemson finally got over the hump and took down the reigning three-time ACC champions, Florida State. As a result, they won the Atlantic division and clinched a berth in the conference championship game. The 23 - 13 win solidified their spot at the top of the rankings as well. Maybe these Tigers won't have a letdown after all?
2. Alabama holds Fournette under 100 rushing yards
The LSU running back looked unstoppable in the Tigers' seven wins before Saturday's clash with the Crimson Tide. But against Alabama, Fournette looked pedestrian. He tallied only 31 yards on 19 carries as LSU fell from the ranks of the unbeaten, losing 30 - 16 to Alabama.
3. Ohio State's defense continues dominance on 3rd down, with conversion rate under 30% for Minnesota
The Silver Bullets dominated, but a late surge by the Gophers ultimately kept this prediction from materializing, as Minnesota converted 7 of 19 third downs, or 36.8%. Overall, it was still a brilliant defensive performance, which included a pick-six by Vonn Bell that provided a spark in a previously scoreless deadlock. The Buckeyes' offense was inconsistent, though, and it's now more apparent than ever that Barrett is the right QB for the job. It's a shame that the quarterback battle has progressed this way, though, as so many fans have forgotten or chosen not to acknowledge everything Jones has done for this team. Even with his struggles this year, he's done enough to win every game he's started in, including a 28 - 14 victory over the Gophers on Saturday night.
4. Hoosiers knock off undefeated Iowa
Indiana kept it close, but in the end they came up short once again against a superior opponent. The Hawkeyes remain undefeated with the 35 - 27 win and now look ahead to a potentially tricky night match-up with a decent Minnesota team.
5. I get all of these predictions wrong
So close...
Week 10 record: 1 - 4
Overall record: 12 - 38
Only six unbeatens remain, with lots of one-loss teams waiting in the wings
With LSU, Michigan State, TCU, Memphis, and Toledo all losing in week 10, we're down to just six teams with perfect records. Houston is the last unbeaten from the group of five, but likely won't get enough help to reach the playoffs even if the Cougars win out. And of the five undefeated Power 5 teams, at least two are guaranteed to lose before season's end because some will play each other. That means one or more one-loss teams will be in the playoffs. Right now the obvious first choice is Alabama, if they win out and claim another SEC title. But if they lose or if there are more upsets that allow other one-loss teams in, who's next? There are a slew of candidates out there, many with compelling arguments to be included. The winner of Notre Dame - Stanford could definitely be in the mix, or maybe even Utah, Florida, or Oklahoma if one of those teams wins out in impressive fashion. There's still a lot of football left to be played, but right now it's hard to guess who might get in, other than the remaining unbeatens.
Nebraska's luck turns around; Michigan State's luck runs out
Anyone who has payed attention to the Cornhuskers' season knows they're a better team than their record indicates. Five of their six losses were by 5 points or less, and four of those games were decided in the final seconds of the fourth quarter or overtime. The Spartans, on the other hand, have been on the right side of all of their close games this season - until now. Michigan State held a 12 point lead with less than two minutes to play, but a wild finish saw Nebraska score twice to win it, including a controversial call on the winning touchdown. The officials ruled that Brandon Reilly was pushed out of bounds before coming back onto the field to catch the game-winning touchdown with 17 seconds left. I still don't see it, but the officials, and the Big Ten, have stuck with the original call. As a result, Cornhuskers ruined Michigan State's shot at a perfect season, as they beat the Spartans 39 - 38.
How 'bout them Hogs?
Arkansas trailed Ole Miss 52 - 45 in overtime, facing a daunting 4th-and-25 with the game on the line. What happened next was unbelievable:
I imagine that Alabama fans have to be drawing hearts around pictures of Bert after that wild finish, which erased the tie-breaker that Ole Miss held over the Tide. We already know that the win put Bert in the mood.
