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Friday, October 7, 2016

College Football Three and Out: Week 6

First and 13: Recapping week 5



Top-10 Bold Prediction: Louisville beats Clemson by double digits

 It was actually Louisville in danger of losing by double digits, as the Tigers built up an 18-point lead by halftime.  It was a sloppy game (at one point there were three turnovers in three plays), but the final outcome was a victory for Clemson.  The bigger picture is that Jackson and Watson are both still in the mix for the Heisman, and their teams are both definitely in the playoff picture, though Clemson is certainly in the driver's seat in the ACC race.

B1G Bold Prediction: Indiana upsets Michigan State

I almost went with Northwestern to upset Iowa, and was disappointed when I saw the Wildcats get it done against the Hawkeyes.  But it seems there is room for two big under-achievers in the Big Ten, as the Spartans picked up their second loss of the season as well.  Now both these programs look like they'll be on the outside looking in for the B1G race this year.

Buckeye Bold Prediction: Weber rushes for 200+ yards

He had a career rushing day with 144 yards, but a huge OSU lead ruined this prediction since he was done playing by partway through the third quarter.  Demario McCall got to flash his talent in Weber's place, adding another 85 yards on the ground.  Between Weber, Samuel, Barrett, and a mix of other talented young guys, the Buckeyes are obliterating opponents with one of the top rushing attacks in the country.  They should be able to keep it going next week against Indiana, but will face a tough challenge when they travel to Madison to face Wisconsin, who boasts one of the top run defenses.

Why-not Bold Prediction: TCU gives Sooners third loss

It was a back-and-forth game, in which the teams took turns deciding to play defense. Oklahoma played defense just a little bit more than the Horned Frogs, and notched their first respectable win of the season. They take on rival Texas this week, but then will have a stretch of very winnable games before closing the season against Baylor, West Virginia, and Oklahoma State.

Not-so-bold Bold Prediction: FIU scores three or more points

They literally exceeded my expectations 10-fold, as they managed to score 33 points and beat FAU.  Wow.

Week 5 record: 2 - 3
2016 record: 13 - 12


Second and 12: Predicting the future!



Top-10 Bold Prediction: Oregon stuns Washington

 The Ducks have won 12 straight in this series, but for the first time in that span the Huskies look like  the better team.  Old habits die hard, however.  Oregon 36, Washington 28.

B1G Bold Prediction: Maryland defeats Penn State by two or more scores

This will be the 40th meeting between these two teams.  The Terps have beaten PSU twice.  But one of those wins was a 1-point victory just two years ago.  The Nittany Lions won last year, also by a point.  I think Maryland notches their biggest win of the series, as Penn State has just looked awful this season.  Terrapins by 12.

Buckeye Bold Prediction: OSU takes 3+ touchdown lead into halftime against Indiana

Although the Buckeyes come in riding a 20-game win-streak against the Hoosiers, four of the last five contests have been decided in the fourth quarter, with last year's coming down to the final play.  And this edition of the Hoosiers might be the best of the group, seeing how they out-kicked (and out-scored) Michigan State last week in overtime.  But the talent level and hunger of these Buckeyes gives them an edge that lets them put this one away early.  Ohio State builds up a big first half lead and never looks back, winning 49 - 12.

Why-not Bold Prediction: Alabama falls to Arkansas

Why not?  The last two meetings between these schools have been close ones, and it seems about the right time of the season for Saban's squad to have their annual inexplicable loss.  Bert walks away victorious, 24 - 20.

Not-so-bold Bold Prediction: Michigan learns how to "line up" properly



No, no, no.  That's not how you do football.


Third and 5: Wild finishes highlight crazy college football weekend



Iowa State led Baylor by 14 with less than 12 minutes left.

Utah had a first and goal on the 2 yard line with 7 seconds left in their game vs Cal.

Indiana missed a FG in overtime against Michigan State.

Florida State scored the go-ahead touchdown against UNC with just 23 seconds remaining.

Georgia took the lead against Tennessee on a miraculous Hail Mary with only 10 seconds left on the clock.

Only 1 of the 5 teams mentioned above won... the rest all lost.  Indiana got a second try on a game-winning field goal after Michigan State's kicker had already missed theirs.  A leaping penalty ended up giving them that opportunity, and they capitalized.

Iowa state gave up 17 points in 11:40 to lose.

Utah was stuffed on the goal line as time expired.

The Seminoles let North Carolina quickly advance up field and kick a walk-off 54-yard field goal to win it, all in 23 seconds.

Georgia only had to stop one play, from about mid field, after scoring from close to the same place.  They failed to stop Tennessee from doing the exact same thing, as the Vols scored on a 43-yard Hail Mary of their own.

Ya gotta love college football.

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